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WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST DETAILS

 

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FOR 9/22/2019 - from Rogueweather

 
 
A very well advertised system is moving through the region today. This is going to be a quick mover as the high that will give us very nice weather for the coming work week is already pushing in. Things are actually ahead os schedule in that it was thought it would take much longer for the rains to spread inland today. Instead they hit the coast this morning and quickly moved inland. We are going to be seeing showers and periods of rain throughout today and tonight. As the colder air aloft comes over us this afternoon and through the evening, then there will be a chance for thundershowers over the entire area. This is not a really good chance, but chance enough to mention. As we move into tonight, we will see the showers and thundershowers come top an end. The thundershower threat will end first. By 9 pm. Then the showers end from west to east during the overnight hours. There is going to be fog develop at the coast, and for inland Coos and Douglas Counties. Not expecting it form south of the Umpqua Divide, but it would not be totally unlikely int he Shady Cove and Taril areas of Jackson County, and in Western and Northwestern Josephine County.
 
Monday will see increasing sunshine and warming temps. Monday is also the first day of seasonal fall. We will be sunny with pleasant temps for much of this week. At least until Friday is how I am seeing it. The high will park over us and give us this break. And this week may be the closest we get to an Indian Summer. We will see coolish mornings with sunny warm afternoons. But, a BIG change is already developing and will arrive at the end of the week. Every forecast model we have shows a deep and cold trough of low pressure coming into the Northwest and Northern California Thursday night into Friday morning. We will see the lowest snow levels of the season so far with 4500 feet being the expected snow level now by Friday night. The really big question we have is how much precipitation will we see? At this time it looks as though it is going to be a case of showers, that could be frequent in some areas. There is some data suggesting that this could be come a more substantial rainfall. The same can be said for snow in the mountains. It is going to be snowing and accumulating above 5000 feet. The opening of the deer rifle seasons in Oregon is next Saturday. For deer hunters this forecast is an amazing break for them. It is a rare thing to have weather like this for the opening of deer season. But, this also means that anybody heading into the mountains from Friday on through the Monday the 30th at least should be prepared for cold, wet and snowy conditions for the higher elevations. Keep watching the forecasts moving towards next weekend. I have suspicion that we may see details such as rain/snow amounts changing as we get closer in time. And, if there was any doubt about what season we are in, next weekend will remove it completely. 

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