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WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST DETAILS

 

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FOR 5/13/2019 - from Rogueweather

 
Our change in the pattern that has been well advertised is getting even more pronounced this morning. In essence, we will go from one extreme to the other. Our unseasonably hot and dry weather is going to be replaced with unseasonably cool and wet weather by mid week. In fact, the wet part will be getting here sooner. Clouds are already increasing ahead of the incoming trough that will send us into the cool and wet conditions. The clouds we are seeing right now are the higher level variety. There will not be any rainfall associated with them until we reach the overnight hours. We are also expecting to see breezy to windy conditions develop today. We are not expecting to see strong winds. But, what we should see across the area will be good leaf movers for sure. Overnight and into early Tuesday, do expect rain to arrive at the coast and then be working it's way in across the inland areas. This rainfall is expected to be more showery in nature. We could see areas of rain develop. On Wednesday, the data is showing signs that a boundary layer will be draped over Southern Oregon and Northern California. If this develops, we will without question see very sincere steady state rain developing. The kind of rain we would typically be looking for in early March, not in May.  As such, we could see some very heafty for May rainfall totals. This is something that is a possibility right now. But, the data has been going more and more in that direction. On Thursday we will be seeing unstable air developing over the mountains, east of the Cascades, and down in Northern California. In those areas will be adding in the chance for thunderstorms to the forecasts that already had showers in them.
 
Temperatures will be dropping steadily through the week. We start out today with highs 10 to 15 degrees above average, and by Friday we could be looking at 10 to 15 degrees below average. With the moisture coming in and this cold air, snow is going to be very likely in the mountains above 5000 feet from Wednesday night on out. Accumulating snow is going to be harder to predict at this point. While snow is expected for popular outdoor recreation areas like Diamond Lake and Lake of the Woods, the best possibility for accumulating snow will be at Crater Lake. If you have plans to visit the park, be prepared for the more winter like conditions that will be seen. We are expected to see the cooler and wet conditions persist through the Memorial Day Weekend as of now. That by the way is now less than two weeks out. Looking at the long range data, the calendar will be saying June before we expect to see the conditions we have seen for the last three weeks, and especially since Thursday, show up again.

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