Today's forecast 4/23/2014 - brought to you by ANSWER PAGE OF MEDFORD
Mostly to partly cloudy this morning with a scattered showers, mostly in the mountains. Snow levels this morning near 4000 feet. Rain developing this afternoon at the Coast and then spreading inland. Snow levels rise to above 6500 feet. Highs today will be in the low 60s in the valleys, and 40s and 50s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s for the valleys, and in the 30s to the low 40s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
Mt. Ashland secures low interest bail out loan. Announces that expansion plans will not be moving forward. Scroll down below to see the full story.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:
There is a MAJOR change in the data for next week. Very major. But first, let's deal with the shorter term. A warm front will be pushing on shore later today and this will bring the next round of rain to our area. There are some scattered showers out there this morning. Most of those have been in the mountains. Snow levels this morning have been running around 4000 feet in the Crater Lake and Diamond Lake areas which is where the bulk of the activity has been happening. The shower activity will be diminishing as we move through the morning. Rain will arrive at the Coast this afternoon and then work inland. Not expecting anything but light accumulations. Being that this is a warm front, snow levels will rise in the mountains to over 6500 feet by tonight. Expect scattered light showers overnight into Thursday morning.
A cold front will come in tomorrow afternoon. This will do two things. It will drop snow levels back down to the passes in the Cascades on Thursday night. It will also bring in cold unstable air, and this is going to lead to a chance for thunderstorms across the region from Thursday night through Friday morning. This will not be a widespread thunderstorm event, just isolated storms popping off. Where storms do form they could drop small hail and maybe have gusting winds. Showers will continue through Friday and into Friday night. There will be a brief break on Saturday morning into the afternoon, and then we get the system that has been talked about for days. This will be the one that brings more significant rain and mountain snow to the region. Snow levels on Saturday night will lower to around 3500 - 4000 feet. Again, expecting impacts both for travel and outdoor recreation. Rain and snow persist through the day on Sunday tapering off to showers Sunday night.
And then comes the MAJOR change!! All models and long range forecasts had been in lockstep agreement that we would remain cloudy, showery, and cool through the end of April. That was also being extended through the first week or so of May. That is all abruptly changing this morning. Actually, that change was hinted at yesterday morning, but it was more of an outlier. What we will see developing next week to end April is the return of the sun and warm weather. We will be back in the mid 70s by next Tuesday and next Wednesday the last day of April looks to see us back up around 80. May now looks like it will arrive sunny and warm with high near 80. This is a very radical change from what was being portrayed 48 hours ago that is for sure. But that is why forecasting is as difficult as it is. Things can and do change and sometimes that will happen very quickly.
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IN THE NEWS:
Many had wondered if the fact that Mt. Ashland did not open this season would be the end of the ski area. That will not be the case. It was announced that Mt. Ashland has secured a Small Business Administration low cost loan. In addition to this, Mt. Ashland has filed paperwork to see if they can get any federal disaster funds being awarded to businesses and operations like farms that have been impacted by the drought.
Mt. Ashland also revealed that they would not be seeking any further expansion plans other than to complete the additional parking spaces up on the mountain. That work was actually under way last summer and fall. The Mail Tribune has more details on the loan and where the expansion plans stand as of now. Here is a link to that story.....http://www.mailtribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20140325%2FNEWS%2F403250304
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RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was proven to be useful on major wildland fires in Southern Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments and agencies and also for private wildland fire fighting companies.
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