Today's forecast 7/22/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care
Partly cloudy with a chance for showers and thunderstorms over the entire area. Some storms may become severe with winds gusting over 50 miles an hour and large hail. Storms may also produce heavy rain. Highs today will be in the upper 80s for the valleys, and in the 70s and 80s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60s for the valleys, and in the 50s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM TONIGHT FOR SISKIYOU, AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST JOSEPHINE COUNTY, EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY, AND FOR ALL OF JACKSON, KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON.
The National Weather Service Office in Medford has issued a fire weather watch for the advisory area due to the expected development of thunderstorms with frequent lightning striking critically dry fuels. While the storms are expected to be rain producers, early on they could be high based dry cells. As the storms become wetter, lightning hitting on the edges of the storms could pose a risky for fire starts if the rain cores of the storms misses the area where the lightning strike occurred. Lightning activity is expected to be frequent with the storms that do form.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:
The data this morning is showing a VERY dynamic picture as three different circulations in the atmosphere will affect us, and all three will work in concert to focus a lot of energy overhead today. The first player in the situation is a low off the Coast of British Columbia. This low is going to help push the jet stream south so that it is coming right over us. This low is also sending in cooler air aloft into the mix which will help both destabilize us and to give the potential for hail development in the stronger cells as they reach the cold air pool. The second player is a circulation that is headed south well off shore of California. This p[layer is going to act as a kicker to drive the third player to the north and be the big trigger today.
And now that third player. This is a very well defined low working it's way up the California Coast a this time. It is pushing in monsoonal moisture with it. It has already produced thunderstorms this morning in the Bay Area and it will arrive late this morning into the early afternoon here. When it does, you will know it. Thunderstorms will have explosive development as the clash of the air masses supported by favorable jet stream energy looks to happen right over us today. Storms will be most numerous where they always are, Northern California, the mountains, and east of the Cascades. But, from the I 5 corridor and to the east it looks like there will be plenty of activity too. That means here in Jackson County we are likely to see some storms pop. Douglas County is also likely to see storms. Josephine County will not be as likely, but cannot rule them out. There is a chance. Basically the current Red Flag Warning has the best potential areas nailed down. The triggering low coming north will encounter the low off the Coast of British Columbia and turn northeast and move out of the area tonight. With all that energy being focused, the potential for severe weather does exist. The most likely severe weather will be damaging wind gusts to over 50 miles an hour and large hail potentially to golf ball size in the most severe storms. All storms today will be capable of dropping heavy rain with them, and there will be frequent cloud to ground lightning as well. If a storm is approaching today, you will want to take shelter from it. These will be nasty storms.
When the triggering low moves out, the big low off British Columbia will move in. It is going to drop south and come through the Northwest. Because of that, forecasts for Wednesday and Thursday will be very different. We are going to keep a chance for showers going now over our area. Not a thunderstorm threat as much. A few storms may get going over east of the Cascades, and well to the east at that. Mainly Lake County. But for the rest of us just plain old showers. We are also going to see some pretty cool temps as highs may not get out of the low 80s for the valleys. Wednesday night it is looking like the areas east of the Cascades will see high 30s for lows. Not seeing a frost threat so no issue there. Man, did I just say FROST THREAT? Yes I did. Let that sink in. The big low will move off to the east on Thursday and the sun returns in full force. Temps will still be below normal, but warming to the upper 80s. Our next ridge builds in quickly on Thursday night into Friday morning being driven by the low headed east. That will take us back to sunny and hot weather by Friday. Triple digits arrive for Saturday and then we have triple digits forecast through Monday.
FIRE INFORMATION BROUGHT TO YOU BY:
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Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at 7:10 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on.
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Get GREAT off road power sports action on the Off Road Recreation page.
On the Waterworld Boat and Power Sports fishing page I give the latest information for fishing in Southern Oregon. I cover it all from the lakes, to the rivers, to the ocean.
The Camping page is a great resource. You will find information on where to camp, plus forecasts. Be sure to check it out.
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IN THE NEWS:
As you may know, there was a fire in the field that the airport owns off Corona Avenue in North Medford last Thursday evening. A combine was working harvesting barley when it suffered a mechanical malfunction and a fire resulted. Nearly three acres of barley, the combine, a fence at a home on Steelhead Run Drive, and kids plastic play toys were lost to the fire.
Here is the follow up on this:
The field is owned by the airport, but leased by a private party. The party who has leased the field is responsible for anything that happens there, especially anything happening as a result of agricultural activity which this most certainly was. The leasee pays the Airport for use of the land.
What is out there is barley. Barley is a highly valued grain crop. The Airport does not receive any of the revenue for the sale of the barley grown there. All revenue goes to the leasee.
They are going to get another combine out there and finish harvesting the barley. However, the harvest will only take place in the mornings. No more harvest in the afternoon and evening during the highest fire danger periods of the day. In the future, safety measures such as having a 50 foot set back zone near the homes, and fire breaks through the center of the field will be instituted. Being that this is in a city with homes at direct risk from fires in the field, those are prudent steps. The set back zones will not be cultivated and likely will be tilled dirt. I made the suggestion to Mr. Case that the leasee also have a water truck, or a pick up with a slip in fire pack to take care of fires if they do happen. He appreciated that suggestion and it will likely be a condition of lease moving forward.
As for the homeowners who did suffer losses from the fire in the form of a burned up fence, melted plastic kids toys and other losses, they will all be covered for the losses. Mr. Case told me that the County is working with the homeowners to get a full accounting of the total dollar loss and will be working with them to get full compensation, and in the case of the fence assisting in rebuilding it.
I know a lot of people were very angry about what happened based on the erroneous, (and still not corrected), information about this fire that other media outlets have given out. Only Rogueweather corrected the story so that the circumstances of what happened were correct. And, only Rogueweather has done any follow up on the story to let you know what is happening going forward.
Perl Funeral Home and Siskiyou Memorial Park
2100 Siskiyou Blvd.
541 - 772 - 5488
The one thing none of us want to think about, is the one thing none of us can avoid: the end of life. All of us, one day, will face that. There are dozens of important decisions to be made: cremation or burial? What cemetery? What kind of casket or urn? What kind of memorial service? Where? Confronting these choices is difficult for a grieving family, but you can make things easier on your loved ones by pre-planning with Perl Funeral Home and Siskiyou Memorial Park. Perl and Siskiyou's caring staff can work with you to plan the details of your cremation or burial plan and help ensure your wishes are followed and your family is spared the challenge of making decisions in their grief. Additionally, by making your prearrangements, you will save your family hundreds, possibly thousands, of dollars in cremation or burial expenses.
I can personally attest to this. My grandmother passed away a few years ago, and while the family was wondering, "What next?" we received a call from Perl's staff. They let us know that Grandma had made all her arrangements with Perl and Siskiyou herself, down to the last detail. All we had to do was show up and remember her. Everything else had been handled by Grandma and the staff at Perl and Siskiyou. We did not have to make any decisions or pay any additional money. It was a wonderful, final gift Grandma left for us.
You can do this too. Perl and Siskiyou offer the lowest prices for cremation and burial services, but the highest level of service and care. Compassionate care, gracious grounds, and respectful remembrance. You will have it all when you use Perl and Siskiyou for end of life needs. When you call, ask for Kristi or Jammie and they will help you give your family peace of mind.
6808 Table Rock Road
Central Point, Oregon
541 - 826 - 3485
Flowerland Nursery is a local family operated business that has grown general nursery stock in the Rogue Valley for over 3 decades. They grow their own plants on site, cutting out the middle man, so Flowerland can pass savings on to their customers. At Flowerland it is about offering high quality products adapted to conditions here in the Rogue Valley. They have a wide variety of all types of vegetation. Everything from ground cover plants to trees for shade and decoration. They also feature fruit trees of all kinds. In addition, Flowerland has everything you need for your vegetable gardens. They have starter plants. Flowerland has colorful hanging floral baskets and can advise you on using baskets for growing vegetables, herbs, and strawberries too. You get a lot of great ideas, and tons of knowledge here. Flowerland is open every day. They are right on Table Rock Road near White City. Come out and see Glenn, Sharon, John, Julie and their resident meeter & greeter "Joey dog"
Laurel Hill Golf Course
9450 Old Stage Road
Gold Hill, Oregon
541 - 855 - 7965
Laurel Hill is in Gold Hill and located right off of I - 5. This makes it easy to get to and a quick drive from Medford. The course is laid out on a former farm and it is easy to walk. It is heavily treed with Madronne and Oak trees lining every bit of the fairways and the greens. This makes well placed shots a must. Laurel Hill is a nine hole layout, with a driving range. It is a very laid back course and if you want to play in shorts and a tank top and not draw icy looks from your fellow golfers, this is your course. It is very kid friendly as well. They have a junior program that is wonderful to introduce kids to golf. This is also a course where your kids have their first chance of beating you!
RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was proven to be useful on major wildland fires in Southern Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments and agencies and also for private wildland fire fighting companies.
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