FORECAST FOR 5/5/2015 - presented by Valley Immediate Care
Mostly cloudy for areas west of the Cascades becoming mostly sunny later. From the Cascades east and in Northern California, expect mostly sunny skies all day. Highs will be cooler in the upper 60s to near 70 for the valleys, with 60s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the low 40s for the valleys, and in the 30s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
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WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION - Brought to you by: CRATER LAKE FORD
Hang on Buckaroos it's a rocky ride in the weather department this morning. No, we are not looking for a sudden deluge of rain to hit. But, in almost all aspects, there were changes to the forecasts from the short term to the long term as a result of this morning's data runs. First off......we got our change in the weather as expected last night. A cold front came in and it brought with it a very strong marine air push. As a result, we have clouds from the Cascades west, and from the Siskiyous north. This cloud deck will take some time to break down. The timing on that is going to be harder to pin down, but I would suspect that by 2 pm the clouds will have cleared for all areas. From the Cascades east, and in Northern California they will get sunny skies for the day. All parts of the region are going to be cooler today. West of the Cascades that is going to be very pronounced as it will be a good 10 degrees cooler than yesterday. The frontal passage has also really stabilized the air over us. It is not looking like much of a shower or thunderstorm threat for today for any part of our region.
But, for tomorrow and for Thursday we will be seeing the chance for showers and storms. For areas west of the Cascades the big chance will be tomorrow as the low that brought about our change in the weather comes over us. It is currently located off the coast of British Columbia. In addition to bringing an increased shower and thunder threat, tomorrow will be even cooler than today with a high of about 60 for Medford. Had this kind of system hit in the winter, or earlier in the spring, we would be talking about valley floor snow. This is that kind of system. So naturally it comes now when it can do us no real good at all. The best chance for thunderstorms storms will move to the east on Thursday, with most storms in Lake and Modoc counties.
The weekend now has done an about face. It will be much sunnier and warmer than was expected 24 hours ago. We will be seeing highs back up near 80 now with the only chance for any rain being a slight chance for showers at the Coast and in Douglas County for Sunday. By next Monday that slight chance for showers expands to include pretty much everything west of the Cascades in Oregon. For areas east of the Cascades and in Northern California, looking like some clouds around, but those areas should remain dry.
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IN THE NEWS:
SECOND TORNADO EVER DOCUMENTED IN DOUGLAS COUNTY
I had multiple reports from eyewitnesses that a small tornado hit Glendale in southern Douglas County at 12:55 pm on April 13th. I even got photos of damage to a home there. I believed at that time that likely what had hit was a landspout. Landspouts are rotating vortexes, and many consider them tornadoes. I sent the eyewitness reports and the photos to NWS Medford for further analysis. NWS Medford did very detailed analysis of what I submitted, along with what happened at 12:55 PM on the radar and satellite images to see what they could determine.
I was informed by Ryan Sandler the Warning Coordinator for the National Weather Service here in Medford that the NWS is going to classify this event as a Gustnado. Gustnadoes are also rotating vortexes that can do damage. In this case equal to an EF 0 tornado. Now, because it is being classified as a tornadic event, it is going in the record book as a tornado, making it just the second tornado ever documented in Douglas County!
Much love to you Rogueweather Family! You people are just the best. Keep sending me your weather reports and photos. Who knows, in the future YOU may be the one who helps makes a significant historical report just as Jennifer and Debbie did.Congratulations to Jennifer Miller, and to Debbie McBride Edington! Because of your reports and Debbie your photos, we were able to provide NWS with what they needed to determine what had happened here.
ROGUE SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST CLOSES PARKER MEADOWS CAMPGROUND
The Rogue Siskiyou National Forest has announced that the Parker Meadows Campground in the High Lakes Ranger District between Butte Falls and Prospect is now permanently closed. This action was caused by disease infecting the Douglas Fir trees within the campground creating hazardous conditions. They decided to remove the toilets, picnic tables and fire rings leaving no amenities for camping. It is also recommended that you avoid camping in that location on your own due to the safety hazard. If winds come up, especially with no warning, the diseased trees there will fall with no warning. Impacts from them would prove fatal if they struck tents, vehicles, RVs or trailers.
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RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.
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