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Providing you with one stop, one click access to all seasonal fun! Sporting, Recreational, & Road Condition updates to keep your day headed in the right direction.

 

Scroll down to see today's forecast and any current weather warnings, advisories, or watches in effect. You will also find a weather summary which will tell you what is going on with our weather. Further down the page you will find a directory to other pages here at Rogueweather.com giving you information on road conditions, the weekly weather forecasts, and of course outdoor recreation of every kind. Lower down on the page you will see what is making news, and you can find links to show you real time radar and satellite images courtesy of the National Weather Service. 


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Today's forecast 9/18/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care 

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Thunderstorms are possible at the coast, in the Coast Range, in Western Siskiyou County, in the Cascades, and east of the Cascades, especially this afternoon and evening. Highs today will be in the upper 70s for the valleys, and in the 60s to the low 70s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 50s for the valleys, with 40s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.



Valley Immediate Care is the proud presenter of Rogueweather.com. Click on the link to visit them.

Need the forecast for the next week? Get it here on the Line X of Southern Oregon Weekly forecast page!


Have news and notes from the outdoors world. A long standing bird hunting season has been changed in Oregon due to an abundance of them, and Mt. Ashland returns a very popular season pass option for the first time in YEARS. Scroll down below for the story.


WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:

What a wonderful change of pace for us! The arrival of rain at long last has been just what fire fighters needed to aid them in the seemingly endless battle against the region's wildfires. Every part of our region got at least some rain, and some areas saw impressive numbers for September. Down in California in the Coast Range the amounts have been as high as 2/3rds of an inch already. We did have thunderstorms reported along the Northern California coastal areas yesterday afternoon and evening. Those storms did help produce locally heavier amounts of rain. In Southern Oregon we have seen over a half inch in the Coast Range outside Brookings. Further inland, the Onion Mountain RAWS, (Remote Automated Weather Station), which was saved by firefighters on Sunday has recorded nearly a half inch of rain in the last 24 hours. That has been wonderful news for the fire fighters there. Additionally, the very increased humidity along with cooler temps aided efforts on fires where they did not get that much rain. A very big blessing and relief indeed.

Today the trough continues to pull through the Northwest. This will keep our wet weather continuing today. In fact, this is looking very much like a fall day as temps will be below normal in the 70s for most everybody and clouds will persist. The shower activity will be widespread throughout the region so we will continue to add to the rainfall totals already received. Be expecting possible thunderstorms near Brookings and Gold Beach and also inland in the Coast Range. Further inland there is a possibility for thunderstorms in Western Siskiyou County including the Happy Camp Complex of fires, in the Cascades, and east of the Cascades as a cold air pocket and associated instability comes through the area this afternoon and evening. The one big effect of the trough taking longer to clear the area will be the lack of clearing tonight east of the Cascades. This will keep you warmer overnight and eliminate the frost potential for tonight. The trough exits the area tomorrow and sunny skies with rising temperatures come in with a building ridge of high pressure. This will give us hot conditions for the weekend. The sun continues through the first part of next week....but it is the middle of next week where everything turns decidedly interesting!

I told you yesterday that the models were all over the map giving us a very mixed bag in terms of what to expect next week. One main model had us continuing to be sunny and warm, but the other main model was showing a very significant rain maker coming at us. That model has gotten more resolved towards that solution, and now it is even showing that the first snows of the season could paint the highest terrain in Southern Oregon and Northern California. That would be places like Crater Lake Rim, Mt. McLoughlin, and Mt. Shasts. But, this is just one model and that is a long way out. Things could change. However, the other main model is now leaning just a bit more towards that outlook. I am not fully bought into this yet. I think the next 24 - 48 hours will really tell us the story. If the wet, and now even snowy projection is right...this is still not looking like it would be a fire season ending event for us just yet. But, it is certainly hinting at a very welcomed turn to a pattern that looks to produce more potential rainfall for us. And, that is part of what is needed to end a fire season. We need that pattern shift that will be giving us the potential for more moisture to arrive.





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MAJOR FIRE UPDATES - 9/17/14 at 6:30 pm

I will be reporting on major fires in the region that pose a significant threat, or have not reached the point where they are of minimal stable fire activity. I will not be reporting on fires that are considered to be well under control, or not likely to be a threat to grow any longer of any size.


OREGON - 


ONION MOUNTAIN FIRE: Josephine County, near Merlin. Cause is human, and under investigation. Burning on the Rogue Siskiyou National Forest. National type II IMT is in command. 3735 plus acres, 5 percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, brush, and timber. Moderate fire behavior with short range spotting. Working from a secure anchor point on the southeast corner of the fire, crews and dozers made progress establishing and securing containment lines along the east flank.  Firefighters also began constructing direct and indirect lines along the southern and western flanks of the fire utilizing existing roads and a major ridge. Helicopters dropped water and air tankers dropped retardant to assist firefighting efforts, but poor visibility due to smoky conditions limited the use of aircraft in some sections of the fire.  Lingering smoke hindered air operations again today. The fire grew about 600 acres to the north Tuesday. The incoming low pressure system will bring cooler weather and rain has developed over the fire this evening and is expected to fall off and on through Thursday midday. Fire personnel will take advantage of the weather by continuing to build containment lines as close to the fire’s edge as possible.  A structure protection group to assess home protection remains in place in the event the fire grows and threatens homes and businesses in the area. A level 1 get prepared evacuation advisory is in effect for for residences in the Pickett Creek, Shan Creek, Riverbanks Road, and Taylor Creek Road areas.  Road, area and campground closures have been issued for public and firefighter safety. Resources working the fire include 14 hand crews, 21 engines, 14 water tenders, 12 bulldozers, 13 helicopters, and 5 air tankers. Total personnel - 514


DECEPTION COMPLEX INCLUDES PREVIOUS REPORTED STALEY COMPLEX: Willamette National Forest. Lightning caused. An Oregon Interagency IMT II has command. 5874 acres total, 75 percent contained. Fires are burning in timber. Fire behavior was moderate with isolated interior torching. Road closures are in place. The Deception Creek Fire stayed within established control lines and continued to burn another 86 acres yesterday. Islands of unburned vegetation along the western perimeter of the fire continued to burn and produced events of heavy smoke. A new weather pattern is developing over Western Oregon today that contains more moisture, lower temperatures and a denser cloud cover. Today, there is a slight chance of isolated thundershowers followed by further cooling. Thursday, there is a 50% chance of showers dropping 0.1 to 0.2 inches of rain. The Deception Creek Fire continues to be managed under a full suppression strategy which is designed to keep the fire size as small as possible while maintaining public and firefighter safety, and protecting natural resources. Mop up (extinguishing all burning material) along the perimeter of the fire is progressing as planned and may be completed within the next few days making the containment lines more secure. As more vegetation within the fire lines is burnt, fire managers feel more confident in meeting containment objectives. The Staley Fire and the Deception Fire are the only remaining fires in the complex that have not been contained or returned back to the local units. Resource mix assigned includes 12 hand crews, 37 engines, 15 water tenders, 2 bulldozers, and 4 helicopters. Total personnel - 671


36 PIT FIRE: Clackamas County, near Estacada. Fire is on the Mt. Hood National Forest. Cause under investigation. A type II IMT is command. 3588 acres, 7 percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, brush, and timber. Active fire behavior with up hill runs. There is critical information on the fire to be found at http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/article/4106/24447/. A Fire Area Closure was issued which includes roads, trails, and recreation sites along Highway 224. Highway 224 remains closed to non-emergency traffic at MP 32-36. Additional road closures are still in effect for FS Roads 46 and 45. Debris from the hillside has blocked the road for a 3 mile stretch. The fire was human caused and is under investigation. The public is reminded to please be careful with any possible ignition source at this time. The Lazy Bend Campground remains closed as well as other recreation sites along Highway 224. No additional evacuations have been ordered. For information about evacuations go to the Clackamas County website (http://www.clackamas.us). The Silver Fox RV Park remains closed. The Red Cross has established an evacuation center at the 1st Baptist Church of Estacada.The electrical power is out at Timber Lake Job Corps and Ripplebrook. A full mix of resources including 16 hand crews, 68 engines - 40 structural for structure protection, 29 water tenders, 6 bulldozer, and 3 helicopters are assigned to the fire. Total personnel - 584


CALIFORNIA - 


BOLES FIRE: Siskiyou County, at Weed. Cause under investigation, believed human caused. Fire is on private property and within city limits. A Cal Fire IMT Type I is in command. 375 acres, 20 percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, sage, juniper, and timber. Minimal fire behavior with smoldering an isolated interior torching. Numerous structures threatened. Evacuation orders are still in effect for: The Community of Angel Valley and Hoy Road. The Evacuation Center is at the Mt. Shasta Armory next to Mt. Shasta High School. The Red Cross is on scene assisting evacuees and also working with residents of Weed. 200 structures of various types destroyed or damaged Monday night. Firefighters are continuing improving containment lines along with mop up and overhaul work within the fire perimeter. Damage Assessment Teams are surveying the impacted areas of the fire. Excess resources are being released and made available for other incidents as necessary. Utility crews have begun assessing and repairing damaged equipment and infrastructure. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for the area. Winds have been gusting to more than 50 miles an hour in the fire this evening, but so far no major issues have resulted. If you feel you have information regarding the Boles Fire, please contact 1-800-468-4408. A reward will be offered up to $10,000 leading to the cause of the fire. Resource commitment to the fire is 20 hand crews, 72 engines, 10 water tenders, 8 bulldozers, and 5 helicopters. Total personnel - 969


HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX - ONE FIRE NOW INCLUDING THE MAN FIRE PREVIOUSLY IN THE JULY COMPLEX: Siskiyou County, near Happy Camp. Lightning caused. Burning on National Forest and private land. A California IMT I is in command. Joint attack between Cal Fire and US Forest Service. 125,788 acres including acreage from the Man Fire, 60 percent contained. Numerous structures threatened. Fire is burning in timber. Fire behavior is active with torching, and spotting. Level III Go Now evacuations and road closures in effect. Strong winds have tested fire lines again today. Despite the high winds, existing fire lines held with no spotting or expansion outside current containment lines. The south end of the fire continued backing slowly toward Elk Creek in the Marble Mountain Wilderness. The Man Fire joined with the Happy Camp Complex Monday and is managed by California Interagency Incident Management Team 4 as of 6:00 am today.. Once again just too much information to briefly summarize here. For current information on the fire, road closure, and evacuation details, please click on the link....http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4078/. A total of six structures including two residences have now been lost to this fire. Resources from the Complex will assist the local units on new fire starts. They did assist on the Boles Fire at Weed. The cost of fighting the fire to date is over $80 million now. A full mix of resources including 24 hand crews, 41 engines, 17 water tenders, 11 bulldozers, and 12 helicopters. Air tankers will be used as conditions allow, and with availability. Total personnel - 1332








The support I have received from all of you is tremendous. It really is. The traffic both here on the website, and on social media is exceeding my every expectation. You people are awesome.

I am asking just one thing of you. One. VISIT the sponsors of Rogueweather. This is VERY easy to do. EVERY ad here on Rogueweather.com links to a website or a facebook page. Just click on those banner ads. Each day I feature sponsors here on the home page and on facebook. When you see them, click on the link to visit them. That is all you have to do. Easy, quick, simple. No real effort required. But it means a LOT later when I ask for their continued support of Rogueweather. It really does. They can then see for themselves how much you believe in Rogueweather. Obviously buying your goods and services from these wonderful people is great. And when you do that....PLEASE let them know you have seen them on Rogueweather.

Mother's Day, Graduation, Father's Day, and other major events are coming up. Many wedding anniversaries happen in the summer. You will find GREAT gifts and ideas for all of these upcoming special events by looking through the business directory / partner's page at Rogueweather.com. All of these businesses are committed to supporting the local community. Here is the link to get you to the business directory / partner's page.......http://rogueweather.com/index.php/partner-directory



Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at 7:10 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on. 





DRONE VIDEO BROUGHT TO YOU AS A PUBLIC SERVICE BY:



We are ready to be operational with the Phantom Drone aircraft provided by McMurray and Sons Roofing and Energy Management. We will change how you get immediate information from fires, floods, and other events that will impact your life in the region. This will give you much better information you will need to make decisions about evacuations or other measures to protect life and property.

The video you sill see below was shot during the thunderstorm that hit on Tuesday the 22nd of July. I was impressed by what I was seeing with the naked eye. I had NO idea what the camera was getting. What I saw was mind blowing! The video below is of one lightning strike sequence that happened over Jacksonville. Watch the difference between what your naked eye sees, and what our camera picks up. This is stunning stuff!


ALL video is property of Rogueweather.com and McMurray and Sons. NO unauthorized use without permission.

For clearance and permission, please contact Greg Roberts at 541 - 261 - 8620.


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We are working on breaking down an impressive strike sequence that shows a lightning strike from it's genesis stage to the completed strike. Now, you can see this strike in the sequence above. But, when we get finished doing the frame by frame editing you are not going to believe what the camera picked up! I am thrilled because I have never seen a lightning strike sequence this well detailed before quite like this one.


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IN THE NEWS:

The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife has made a major change to the season and limits for Mourning Doves. Years of study and tracking have shown that not only is Oregon's populations of doves very stable...it is increasing. With that data in hand, Oregon's Mourning Dove season began as it traditionally does on Monday September 1st, but it will now run through October 30th adding a month to the season. Bag limits increase to 15 daily, and 45 in possession. The harvest patterns are not likely to change. The biggest majority of doves taken are shot on opening day of the season. That is expected to remain the same. But, by extending the season it is thought that it will result in more opportunities for hunters and more doves harvested. The population can stand it. The studies also revealed that the Eurasian Collared Dove is expanding rapidly in numbers west of the Cascades as well. The Eurasian Collared Dove is bigger than the Mourning Dove. It is found in similar areas. As an invasive species officially, there is no season or bag limits on these doves. You are allowed to hunt them every day of the year. You only need a valid hunting license.


Mt. Ashland has seen many changes in the past few months. Kim Clark was let go as general manager, (He has since been hired by the Bluewood Ski Area in Washington State), and a new Executive Director / Manager of Operations has been hired in the person of Hiram Towie previously of Sunday River, Maine. 

But, it was a decision by the board of the Mt. Ashland Association that really got skiers and riders cheering when it was announced that after years, the Student Season Pass for those attending Southern Oregon University is coming back. The Student Pass will be $299, and is available now. The move to restore it will only generate good will for the mountain. I join those applauding the decision to bring this pass back because it never should have gone away in the first place. Well done MAA Board.



FEATURED SPONSORS:


RF Vaughn Realty

22297 Highway 62

Shady Cove, Oregon

97539

541 - 878 - 4809

http://www.rfvaughnrealty.com/

RF Vaughn Realty are your real estate professionals serving all of Southern Oregon based out of beautiful Shady Cove. They offer real estate services of all types, including property management. It does not matter if you are looking for that first time home, or that some place extraordinary, the staff at RF Vaughn can help you find just what you are looking for. They always have bare lots and larger parcels available if you want to build. RF Vaughn Realty has a property management division and they have rentals in the Shady Cove area. They can use more as their business and demand is growing. If you have rental properties in Eagle Point, Sams Valley, and the White City areas, they would really like to talk to you as they are expanding to serve those areas as well. If managing your properties is getting to be too much of a task and you would like to turn that chore over to professionals you can rely on with a solid track record, give them a call today. Bill Hernlien and the staff at RF Vaughn know the area very well. Most of them have spent the larger part, or all their lives here. I can recommend them as people you can turn to and trust with all your real estate transactions.


The Sugar Pine Company Cafe.

343 Broad Street

Butte Falls, Oregon.

97522

541 - 865 - 3311

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Sugar-Pine-Company-Cafe/393854250715072

The Sugar Pine Company Cafe in Butte Falls is an EXCELLENT place to start your day with a hearty homestyle breakfast, or a great lunch spot, and you can wrap up the day with a wonderful dinner out on the deck enjoying a pleasant evening. The Sugar Pine Company Cafe has a feel more like being at home in your own kitchen or dining room than most places you will find. You are greeted warmly by Cory and her staff and then you will find a comfortable atmosphere listening to people talking about their lives and what is going on. Like I said, it is like being in your own dinning room in a way. I love the omlettes they serve for bereakfast. Loaded with all kinds of ingredients and always served with hashbrowns or toast. They even have a breakfast special that gets you hashbrowns, egg, toast, and coffee for just 5 dollars. And it will fill you up! Speaking of filling, take on a Logger Burger basket......but you better be hungry! This is a burger designed to fill the biggest of appetites, and you get a pile of fries to go with it. Very delicious and very recommended! At night, you never know what kind of special Cory is going to put out for dinner. You can check out the facebook page to see. The dinners here are the traditional favorites along with Cory's nightly special. So take that short drive up the hill and stop in for a great meal and remember what it used to be like to gather around a family dinner table. The Sugar Pine Company Cafe is open everyday but Sunday.


Rogue Ski Shop

309 East Jackson Street

Medford, Oregon

97501

541 - 772 - 8047

http://rogueskishop.com/RogueSkiShop.html

This is THE ski shop in Southern Oregon. Actually, no matter how you love to play in the snow, Rogue Ski Shop has what you need. Alpine, cross country, snow boards, and even snow shoes......if you ski or board, this is where you just have to go to begin your adventures. Bob and Sandy Mathews have been great friends and they have assembled the best of the best to get you the gear your need to have all the fun you want. They also have knowledgeable experts on hand to repair your equipment when it gets dinged up. I am VERY particular about my skis and Bob is one of the very few techs out there that I will trust my gear to. You will find me frequently just hanging out in there chatting with Bob. And that is the cool part about Rogue....you wanna just get in there and chat and learn more about the snow sports you enjoy that is ok with them too.



ABOUT ROGUEWEATHER.COM

RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma. 

Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves. 

Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.


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