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LONG RANGE FORECAST OUTLOOKS 4/10/2026

 

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6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK

This covers the time period of the 17th to 21st of April. This is a HUGE change in what we thought we would see in this time frame. Temps will be seasonal. The biggest change from the last update is the precipitation outlook. Where it was once expected to be dry, it is now looking to be above normal. A very welcome change indeed! .

 

  610prcp.new

 

 

8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK

This covers the time period of the 19th to the 25th of April. This time period has also seen a major shift. It was going to be hot and dry....and now it is seasonal both ways. Again, we needed to see this. 
 
 
 
 814temp.new  814prcp.new  
 
     
 
 
 
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK
This is covers the time period of the 25th of April to the 8th of May. Given what we just witnessed happening, I would not get too worked up on this just yet. This might be how it goes. But, then again it may not. This is what April was supposed to look like before. And, then we are seeing how it is turning out. Wait until you see what is below. 
 
 
 
WK34temp WK34prcp      
 
 
 
       
 
 
 
Shirleys Bridal
 
 
 
 
APRIL MONTHLY FORECAST
 
 
THIS is what it was thought April would be like......and clearly is not going to be. Long range forecasting is always a 50/50 at best. It can be even longer odds. That has turned out to be the case here. This is one of NOAA's biggest misses in a good way in months. Pity they could not have been wrong about our winter. 
 
 
 
Screenshot 2097
 
 
 
 
 
LONG RANGE FORECASTS
 
First up is the 90 day forecast from Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist Pete Parsons. Pete is a very good longer range forecaster. He is basing his forecasts on what has happened with years where we had similar climatic conditions. He has found that 1963, 1968, and 2018 had conditions much like we see now. Many times the solution to forecasting the future is to look at the past and similar conditions. Pete does this. Pete has a lot of information in his three month outlook. Click on the second image below to read Pete's report. I am not usually going to disagree with Pete....but I am on this one. I do not think this is what will happen. What do I think will happen? See down below.
 
 
 
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BB 500
 
 
 
 
 
 
Here is what NOAA is forecasting for April through June. I DO think this is what is going to happen. Going to be above average on temps....and below average on precipitation
 
 
 
 
 Screenshot 2017
 
 
 
 
 
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