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LONG RANGE FORECAST OUTLOOKS 9/3/2026
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6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of the 9th to the 13th. And, this wetter outlook is going to continue!
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of the 11th to the 17th. Temps are still near average, with above average chances to see precipitation.
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of the 12th to the 25th of September. Temps are expected to be average. Same with precipitation.
SEPTEMBER MONTHLY FORECAST
September's outlooks now match both what we are seeing, and expect to see. El Ninos can cause cool and wetfalls to happen. That is just what we are getting. Medford has already seen as much rain as we would see in an average September.....in just one day. That was yesterday the 2nd. In fact, more than what we see in an average September. Average rainfall in Medord in September is 0.68 of an inch. On Wednesday the 2nd, we had 0.80 of an inch. That did set a record.
LONG RANGE FORECASTS
First up is the 90 day forecast from Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist Pete Parsons. Pete is a very good longer range forecaster. He is basing his forecasts on what has happened with years where we had similar climatic conditions. He has found that 1972, 1982, and 2023 had conditions much like we see now. Many times the solution to forecasting the future is to look at the past and similar conditions. Pete does this. Pete has a lot of information in his three month outlook. Click on the second image below to read Pete's report. As you are going to see, Pete and NOAA Climatology are not on the same page at all. One of them is going to be proven right.
Here is what NOAA is forecasting for September through November. They are going alot warmer.....but, in Oregon and California, wetter.
NOAA Climatology also has this as the drought expectation. Coming out of the winter we did not have......this is not a surprise.
